Thursday, February 2, 2017

Failure or Success? Mystery around the Trident missile.

Aidana Sapuan


On January 23, Defense Secretary Michael Fallon refused to answer the question about the test on Trident nuclear missile system, which has fueled a huge debate at the UK’s House of Commons. The last Trident test-fire, which has been said to be failed, took place on June 2016 near the Florida coast. US officials claim, that unarmed Trident missile “had to be diverted into the ocean to self-destruct” because of an “anomaly”.
            The important question here is not about the safety of the Trident nuclear missile system, which is used by UK since the year of 19942. After all, the purpose of testing machines with such capabilities is to identify the failure and fix it in the future. Neither the test involved any major potential risks, since the missile was unarmed.          The point of interest in this situation is what are the implications of government’s reluctance to be open for UK’s civil-military relations (CMR). 
            Up to this point, the Defense Secretary Michael Fallon and the Prime-Minister Theresa May adopted the tactic of leaving the questions raised by Members of Parliament (MPs) about the missile unanswered. Namely, Fallon repeatedly paraphrases his own words by saying: “The capability and effectiveness of the UK's independent nuclear deterrent is not in doubt and we do not comment on the detail of submarine operations, since it's important to maintain the secrecy of our deterrent”. Though Prime-Minister did not comment on the Trident issue by herself, her official spokeswoman asserts that May was informed about the test, without specifying if it was a success or failure of the missile. Notably, the news about the failure of the test were released only 6 months later the test itself. The week after the failed Trident test, on July 2016, Theresa May urged Parliament to approve the program on renewal of the same nuclear missile system worth of £40billion. With 350 majority vote, the program has entered into force. Does this mean that the main reason for high officials to cover up the Trident-failure was to reassure MPs about a system’s serviceability and ensure the program’s approval? The question is left unanswered unless either May or Fallon give a precise report on the event.
            As I have mentioned in the beginning of this post, the key point here is to explore implications of the ongoing Trident-debate on CMR in UK. If we were to analyze the government’s unwillingness to tell the truth to MPs, would its serve as a good generalizing indicator in assessing UK's CMR. Perhaps, yes. By 4 weeks of class we have covered theories, which focus on what should be the role of the military and how it should be controlled (if at all controlled) to preserve a good state of CMR. But we have a different focus in the situation of UK’s Trident-failure. What seems to be missing in UK’s CMR in this context, are these: 1) the agreement between UK’s Cabinet and MPs, 2) accountability to the citizens of the state. In this regard, though Avant’s theory was built around the US’s unique electoral system, I think it is also applicable to the case of UK (Owens, 2011). That is, the government has a little consensus with MPs on major security issues. With the fear of receiving a disapproval of its initiatives it resorts to hiding the truth from Parliament, as well as the public itself. Moreover, Giraldo's theoretical framework fits in here as well (Bruneau and Tollefson, 2008). In this particular case, the executive (government) prevents the legislature (House of Commons consisting of MPs) from questing for truth about the Trident-missile situation. Does this little capacity of legislature to check and oversight arise from the unique features of UK's political system is another difficult question though.

Bruneau, Thomas C., and Scott D. Tollefson. 2008. Who Guards the Guardians and
            How: Democratic Civil-Military Relations. University of Texas Press.

Owens, Mackubin Thomas. 2011. US Civil-Military Relations After 9/11:       Renegotiating the          Civil-Military Bargain. New York: Bloomsbury   Academic.

Giraldo, Jeanne Kinney. 2008. “Legislatures and National Defense: Global   Comparisons.” In Who       Guards the Guardians and How: Democratic Civil-Military Relations, eds. Thomas C.                 Bruneau and Scott D.  Tollefson. University of Texas Press, 34–70.

            

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