Monday, April 17, 2017

Failed coup in Gambia, did it really fail?

Author: Kamila Shurmanova 

https://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2017/04/03/world/africa/ap-af-gambia-exhumations.html

Powell (2012) states that even though the reasons to initiate the coup might relatively coincide, the vulnerability to coups of the countries defer. Before starting the coup conspirators should assess the chances for success, possible losses and costs in case it fails. They should also assess individual consequences, such as imprisonment, exile or execution (Powell 2012). In Gambia there was an attempted coup in December of 2014. This coup has failed and some of the initiators were killed, some sentenced, including four participants with US citizenship. New York Times reports that bodies of three coup initiators were exhumed in order to identify causes of death and allow families to bury them properly. This decision was made because after 3 years after the coup was attempted, the charges against the initiators, who are still alive, are being dropped and they are re-joining army. The charges were dropped, because former President Yahya Jammeh, interesting fact is that he himself was among initiators of a successful coup in 1994, was recognized as a thief, human rights abuser and he was also found guilty of several other crimes, including alleged shooting of students. In December 2016 as a result of elections Adama Barrow became new president of Gambia, shortly after that Jammeh was exiled because he refused to leave his post (New York Times 2017). The article reports that the new President of Gambia was the one who triggered the reverse of repressions and pardons for coup conspirators of 2014. 
This example of an attempted coup proves the theory of Powell and Chacha () that coups, even unsuccessful once trigger democratization. The initiation of investigations on Jammeh started shortly after the coup was attempted, after that Human Rights group accused him of governing unjustly, and killing and torturing opponents (New York Times 2017). And the President who replaced him, Adama Barrow, was an active member of United Democratic Party in Gambia. Powell and Chacha argues that different states, they discussed those who are economically stable and closely tied to international actors (Gambia may be counted as one, because it refers to international organization for aid and resolving acute political issues), have a fair chance of democratization after an attempted coup. Both this article and the research on coups have significantly contributed to the civil-military relations studies, because they reflect how military can influence domestic and foreign policies of the country and lead to the change of political regime. 

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